Expected New Moons and Appointed Times for 2016

Listed below are the computations for 2016 for the expected dates of New Moon visibility from Israel. The possible projected dates for the Appointed Times for 2016 are given in a second table below the New Moons table.

PLEASE NOTE:  The "Date of Visibility" column dates are the dates on which the New Moon is expected to be seen--beginning at sunset of the listed day. All dates listed are to be reckoned from sunset of listed day and date through the next day at sunset in the following New Moon table.

2016/2017 New Moon Data

New Moon

Date of Visibility
Sunset
Moon Set
Lag Time

% of Illum.

Moon Alt.
Sun Alt.
VN

Sighted?

11th Monday, January 11, 2016
4:54
6:32
38 min.
3.08 %
17.7
-19.8
222.3
Yes

12th

Tuesday, February 9, 2016
5:20
6:25
65 min.

1.47 %

12.0
-13.5
140.0

Yes

1st

Thursday, March 10, 2016
5:44
7:25
101 min.

3.71 %

19.7
-21.4
245.0
Yes
2nd Friday, April 8, 2016
6:03
7:18
75 min.
2.31 %
14.2
-5.4
172.0
Hazy

3rd

Monday, May 7, 2016* 6:24
7:11
47 min.

1.34 %

8.48
-9.15
103.3

Yes

4th

Monday, June 6, 2016 6:42
8:00
98 min.

3.65 %

14.3
-13.6
190.1

Yes

5th

Tuesday, July 5, 2016* 6:48
7:32
44 min.

 2.08 %

7.85
-7.99
107.8

Yes

6th

Thursday, August 4, 2016 6:33
7:33
66 min.

 3.71 %.

11.6
-11.6
165.9

Yes

7th

Friday, September 2, 2016* 6:01
6:43
42 min.

 1.69 %

7.69
-8.63
101.8

Yes

8th

Sunday, October 2, 2016
5:22
6:23
61 min.

 2.56 %

11.5
-13.0
152.2

Yes

9th

Tuesday, November 1, 2016* 4:49
6:12
83 min.

 3.33 %

14.9
-17.3
200.8

Yes

10th

Wednesday, November 30, 2016
4:35
5:35
60 min.

1.27 %

10.4
-11.8
123.8

Yes

11th

Friday, December 30, 2016  4:45
5:59
74 min.

1.80 %

13.0
-14.7
144.4

Yes

12th

Sunday, January 29, 2017 5:11
6:43
92 min.

2.89 %

17.0
-19.0
210.7

Yes

13th

Monday, February 27, 2017 5:35
6:33
58 min

 1.32 %

10.7
-12.2
125.8

Yes

1st

Wednesday, March 29, 2017 5:57
7:30
93 min.

 3.46 %

18.1
-19.4
225.4

Yes

* Monday, May 7, 2016 - It is possible that the moon may not be visible until the next evening. Here are the stats for that date:  On Tuesday evening (May 8), we expect a 6:24 pm sunset & 8:17 pm moon set (therefore, a lag time of 113 minutes), a 5.41% of illumination, with a lunar altitude at sunset of 21.4 degrees and a solar altitude of -20.7 at moonset. VN = 282.4

* Tuesday, July 5, 2016 - It is possible that the moon may not be visible until the next evening. Here are the stats for that date:  On Wednesday evening (July 6), we expect a 6:48 pm sunset & 8:18 pm moon set (therefore, a lag time of 90 minutes), a 6.23% of illumination, with a lunar altitude at sunset of 17.4 degrees and a solar altitude of -15.7 at moonset. VN = 254.4

* Friday, September 2, 2016 - It is possible that the moon may not be visible until the next evening. Here are the stats for that date:  On Thursday evening (September 3), we expect a 6:00 pm sunset & 7:17 pm moon set (therefore, a lag time of 77 minutes), a 5.16% of illumination, with a lunar altitude at sunset of 14.9 degrees and a solar altitude of -15.8 at moonset. VN = 221.7

* Tuesday, November 1, 2016 - The moon may possibly be visible one evening earlier, but most likely not. Here are the stats for that date:  On Monday evening (October 31), we expect a 4:50 pm sunset & 5:34 pm moon set (therefore, a lag time of 44 minutes), a 0.86% of illumination, with a lunar altitude at sunset of 7.87 degrees and a solar altitude of -9.12 at moonset. VN = 91.83

2016 Appointed Times (March 10th New Year)

Event

begins sunset of

ends sunset of

Passover (Lord's Supper) Aviv 14

Wednesday, March 23

Thursday, March 24

Feast of Unleavens (1st day)

Thursday, March 24

Friday, March 25
Elevation Sheaf Day (aka "wave sheaf")    

Saturday, March 26

Sunday, March 27

Feast of Unleavens (7th day)

Tuesday, April 18

Wednesday, April 19

Pentecost

Saturday, May 14

Sunday, May 15

Day of Shouting (aka "Trumpets")

Friday, September 2 

Saturday, September 3 

Day of Atonement

Sunday, September 11

Monday, September 12

Feast of Tabernacles (1st day)

Friday, September 16

Saturday, September 17

8th Day Assembly

Friday, September 23

Saturday, September 24


Understanding the Calculations

Visibility Number (VN) is the difference between the sun and moon setting times plus 27 times the illuminated percent of the moon plus 5.5 times the altitude of the moon at sunset minus 5 times the altitude of the sun at moonset, all divided by 1.7.

If the VN is:

*  less than 88 then the New Moon will not be seen
*  between 88 and 100, it will probably not be seen
*  between 100 and 112, it will probably be seen
*  anything greater than 112, it will be seen in reasonable conditions.

EXAMPLE:  The sun will set in Jerusalem at 6:37. The moon will set at 7:36. This is a 59 minute lag time (lag time = the time between sunset and moonset) -- plenty of time for the sky to darken enough after sunset for the moon to be sighted. 2.39% of the lunar surface will be illuminated. And the moon's altitude at sunset will be 11.4 degrees. The sun's altitude at moonset will be -12.6 degrees.

So using the calculations, we have 59 [lag time] + (27 x 2.39 = 64.53) [27 times illuminated percent] + (5.5 x 11.4 = 62.7) [5.5 times lunar altitude] - (5 x -12.6 = -63) [5 times sun's altitude] divided by 1.7 = 146.6

As seen above, anything over 112 should be visible (the higher the number, the greater the visibility), and we have a VN of 146.6 -- hence, New Moon!

Email: Brian Hoeck

©2016 Truth On The Web Ministries: All the articles originated by Kenneth Hoeck and/or Brian Hoeck may be freely distributed or mirrored as long as presented in their entirety (including this statement), attributed to Truth on The Web, and proper author credit given.

See also Projected Appointed Times for 2001-2030

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